Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.819908 0.959254 1.114933 1.301755 1.519905 1.766652 2.067057
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.631623 0.826353 1.069048 1.393804 1.817295 2.351328 3.076939
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.515148 0.729936 1.019345 1.437935 2.028569 2.833484 4.016411
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.428157 0.647254 0.961751 1.446284 2.175156 3.233044 4.890060
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.360222 0.575807 0.902605 1.434268 2.279410 3.574489 5.717672
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.309447 0.519916 0.854866 1.426956 2.382296 3.918955 6.589943
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.273269 0.480475 0.825191 1.440677 2.515733 4.323113 7.608669
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.232990 0.427234 0.763917 1.390246 2.530677 4.527965 8.312477
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.221744 0.422920 0.785257 1.485715 2.811714 5.224556 9.977474
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.193046 0.382071 0.735043 1.442536 2.831824 5.452531 10.807193
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.167928 0.344232 0.684916 1.391617 2.828405 5.632860 11.565232
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.147448 0.312532 0.642116 1.348529 2.833083 5.826641 12.372007
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.135618 0.297354 0.631088 1.370471 2.977256 6.325752 13.896461
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.131587 0.298241 0.653421 1.466260 3.291617 7.220320 16.399117
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.123569 0.289142 0.653157 1.512614 3.504564 7.926897 18.590329
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.113535 0.273943 0.637309 1.521393 3.633642 8.465175 20.474829
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.103200 0.256473 0.613815 1.508752 3.710414 8.893315 22.159022
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.094368 0.241331 0.593646 1.501060 3.797580 9.356389 23.993474
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.087785 0.230819 0.583115 1.515494 3.941005 9.972824 26.298780
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.078238 0.211339 0.547892 1.462443 3.905976 10.144130 27.486168
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.077370 0.214565 0.570473 1.562872 4.284427 11.412500 31.752594
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.069662 0.198196 0.540048 1.517449 4.266695 11.648794 33.255510
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.062433 0.182120 0.508273 1.463885 4.219165 11.799372 34.542700